Legend

Skill

Low
1%
High

Predicted Anomaly

Increase Decrease

Installed Wind Power (MW)

High Low

Data

Prediction Start Date; Prediction Season

Variable

Observations

? The upper tercile corresponds to the third of years with the highest variable values and the lower tercile corresponds to the third of years with the lowest values. Note that the colour scale for precipitation has been reversed.
Seasonal average
Median
4.3 The median value of the variable observed in the past.

Predictions

? This chart shows the prediction from the ECMWF prediction system for the next season. Overall, different simulations are run, resulting in a range of potential outcomes. The upper tercile gives the predicted probability for the variable to have higher than normal values in the next season, the mid tercile gives the probability to have normal values, and the lower tercile the probability to have lower than normal values. Note that the colour scale for precipitation has been reversed.
0.0%
upper
* This category of values is the most probable according to our predictions.
0.0%
mid
* This category of values is the most probable, according to our predictions.
0.0%
lower
* This category of values is the most probable according to our predictions.

Skill

? The skill score is a statistical measure of how well the prediction system has performed in the past in the selected region. It can guide about the expected performance of the forecasts in the future. A score of 100% would mean that the prediction system performance is perfect. A score of 0% means that the model is not better than just making a guess based on historical data, without using extra information from climate simulations.

Installed Wind Power

? This chart shows the currently installed wind power in the selected region, which reflects the production capacity in that particular area. (data generously provided by windpower.net)
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